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南半球各类图像自动更新暨非扰动云团专帖(2024年7月-2025年6月)

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5065

积分

强台风

Super Typhoon

积分
5065
发表于 2024-12-30 17:20 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Dec 300850 UTC.

ANOTHER BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0S 167.0E [NEAR
VANUATU]. POSITION POOR BASED HIMAWARI-8 EIR IMAGERY WITH ANIMATION.
THE LOW IS SLOW MOVING.

THE LOW IS CURRENTLY ELONGATED, UNDER LOW SHEAR WITH LOW TO MODERATE
UPPER DIVERGENCE. THE LOW HAS SOME POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN
THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS IS LOW.

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5065

积分

强台风

Super Typhoon

积分
5065
发表于 2024-12-30 17:25 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 08U
Tropical low forming well offshore to the northwest of WA
  • A tropical low, 08U, is forming over open waters well offshore to the northwest of Western Australia.
  • There is a Low likelihood of the system reaching tropical cyclone intensity from Thursday onwards.
  • The low is expected to move to the west southwest, remaining over open waters of the Indian Ocean.
  • The low will remain well away from the Australian mainland and offshore islands. Christmas Island may experience increased shower activity over the next 24-36 hours.
Last updated
an hour ago, 08:33 am UTC

Tropical lowsToday 11:00 pm Tomorrow 11:00 am Tomorrow 11:00 pm Wed 1  Jan 11:00 am Wed 1  Jan 11:00 pm Thu 2  Jan 11:00 am Thu 2  Jan 11:00 pm Fri 3  Jan 11:00 am Fri 3  Jan 11:00 pm Sat 4  Jan 11:00 am Sat 4  Jan 11:00 pm Sun 5  Jan 11:00 am Sun 5  Jan 11:00 pm Mon 6  Jan 11:00 am Mon 6  Jan 11:00 pm
Tropical Low 08U 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 5 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low)

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5065

积分

强台风

Super Typhoon

积分
5065
发表于 2025-1-1 09:35 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 09U
Tropical Low 09U may form well north of Western Australia over the weekend.
  • A weak tropical low (09U) may form near the Indonesian Archipelago over the weekend.
  • If it forms, it will most likely move towards the west to southwest and remain well north of the WA coast.
  • There is a Low risk of 09U developing into a tropical cyclone from next Tuesday January 7.
Last updated
an hour ago, 12:09 am UTC

Tropical lowsToday 11:00 pm Tomorrow 11:00 am Tomorrow 11:00 pm Fri 3  Jan 11:00 am Fri 3  Jan 11:00 pm Sat 4  Jan 11:00 am Sat 4  Jan 11:00 pm Sun 5  Jan 11:00 am Sun 5  Jan 11:00 pm Mon 6  Jan 11:00 am Mon 6  Jan 11:00 pm Tue 7  Jan 11:00 am Tue 7  Jan 11:00 pm Wed 8  Jan 11:00 am
Tropical Low 09U null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 5 (Low) 10 (Low) 15 (Low)

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5065

积分

强台风

Super Typhoon

积分
5065
发表于 2025-1-1 21:15 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 09U
Tropical Low 09U may form well north of Western Australia over the weekend.
  • A weak tropical low (09U) may form near the Indonesian Archipelago over the weekend.
  • If it forms, it will most likely move towards the west to southwest and remain well north of the WA coast.
  • There is a Low risk of 09U developing into a tropical cyclone from next Monday January 6, increasing to Moderate on Wednesday January 8.
Last updated
4 hours ago, 08:52 am UTC

Tropical lowsTomorrow 12:00 am Tomorrow 12:00 pm Fri 3  Jan 12:00 am Fri 3  Jan 12:00 pm Sat 4  Jan 12:00 am Sat 4  Jan 12:00 pm Sun 5  Jan 12:00 am Sun 5  Jan 12:00 pm Mon 6  Jan 12:00 am Mon 6  Jan 12:00 pm Tue 7  Jan 12:00 am Tue 7  Jan 12:00 pm Wed 8  Jan 12:00 am Wed 8  Jan 12:00 pm
Tropical Low 09U null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 5 (Low) 5 (Low) 10 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 25 (Moderate)

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5065

积分

强台风

Super Typhoon

积分
5065
发表于 2025-1-2 10:25 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 09U
Tropical Low 09U may form well north of Western Australia over the weekend.
  • A tropical low (09U) may form near the Indonesian Archipelago over the weekend.
  • If it forms, it will most likely move towards the west to southwest and remain well north of the WA coast.
  • There is a Low risk of 09U developing into a tropical cyclone from Monday January 6, increasing to Moderate on Wednesday January 8.
Last updated
3 hours ago, 11:18 pm UTC

Tropical lowsToday 11:00 pm Tomorrow 11:00 am Tomorrow 11:00 pm Sat 4  Jan 11:00 am Sat 4  Jan 11:00 pm Sun 5  Jan 11:00 am Sun 5  Jan 11:00 pm Mon 6  Jan 11:00 am Mon 6  Jan 11:00 pm Tue 7  Jan 11:00 am Tue 7  Jan 11:00 pm Wed 8  Jan 11:00 am Wed 8  Jan 11:00 pm Thu 9  Jan 11:00 am
Tropical Low 09U null (None) null (None) null (None) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 5 (Low) 10 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 25 (Moderate) 35 (Moderate) 35 (Moderate)

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5065

积分

强台风

Super Typhoon

积分
5065
发表于 2025-1-2 21:20 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 09U
Tropical Low 09U may form well north of Western Australia over the weekend.
  • A tropical low (09U) may form near the Indonesian Archipelago over the weekend.
  • If it forms, it will most likely move towards the west southwest and remain well north of the WA coast.
  • There is a Low risk of 09U developing into a tropical cyclone from Monday January 6, increasing to Moderate on Wednesday January 8.
Last updated
5 hours ago, 08:41 am UTC

Tropical lowsTomorrow 12:00 am Tomorrow 12:00 pm Sat 4  Jan 12:00 am Sat 4  Jan 12:00 pm Sun 5  Jan 12:00 am Sun 5  Jan 12:00 pm Mon 6  Jan 12:00 am Mon 6  Jan 12:00 pm Tue 7  Jan 12:00 am Tue 7  Jan 12:00 pm Wed 8  Jan 12:00 am Wed 8  Jan 12:00 pm Thu 9  Jan 12:00 am Thu 9  Jan 12:00 pm
Tropical Low 09U null (None) null (None) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 25 (Moderate) 35 (Moderate) 35 (Moderate) 35 (Moderate)

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5065

积分

强台风

Super Typhoon

积分
5065
发表于 2025-1-3 21:00 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 09U
Tropical Low 09U may form well north of Western Australia over the weekend.
  • A tropical low (09U) may form near the Indonesian Archipelago over the weekend.
  • If it forms, it will most likely move towards the west southwest and remain well north of the WA coast during next week.
  • There is a Low risk of 09U developing into a tropical cyclone from Monday, increasing to Moderate later Wednesday.
  • The system may move closer to Christmas Island early to mid next week as a tropical low and residents are advised to keep up to date with forecasts.
Last updated
4 hours ago, 08:52 am UTC

Tropical lowsTomorrow 12:00 am Tomorrow 12:00 pm Sun 5  Jan 12:00 am Sun 5  Jan 12:00 pm Mon 6  Jan 12:00 am Mon 6  Jan 12:00 pm Tue 7  Jan 12:00 am Tue 7  Jan 12:00 pm Wed 8  Jan 12:00 am Wed 8  Jan 12:00 pm Thu 9  Jan 12:00 am Thu 9  Jan 12:00 pm Fri 10  Jan 12:00 am Fri 10  Jan 12:00 pm
Tropical Low 09U 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 5 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 25 (Moderate) 35 (Moderate) 35 (Moderate) 35 (Moderate) 25 (Moderate)

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5065

积分

强台风

Super Typhoon

积分
5065
发表于 2025-1-4 20:50 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 09U
Tropical Low 09U may form well north of Western Australia early next week and to remain over open waters passing south of Christmas Is mid-week.
  • A tropical low (09U) may form near the Indonesian Archipelago early next week.
  • It is likely to move to the west southwest and remain over open waters well north of the WA coast during next week.
  • There is a Low risk of 09U developing into a tropical cyclone from Tuesday, increasing to Moderate on Thursday.
  • The system is forecast to pass south of Christmas Island mid next week bringing an increase in showers and residents are advised to keep up to date with forecasts.
Last updated
4 hours ago, 08:45 am UTC

Tropical lowsTomorrow 11:00 am Tomorrow 11:00 pm Mon 6  Jan 11:00 am Mon 6  Jan 11:00 pm Tue 7  Jan 11:00 am Tue 7  Jan 11:00 pm Wed 8  Jan 11:00 am Wed 8  Jan 11:00 pm Thu 9  Jan 11:00 am Thu 9  Jan 11:00 pm Fri 10  Jan 11:00 am Fri 10  Jan 11:00 pm Sat 11  Jan 11:00 am Sat 11  Jan 11:00 pm
Tropical Low 09U null (None) null (None) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 5 (Low) 10 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 25 (Moderate) 25 (Moderate) 25 (Moderate) 25 (Moderate) 25 (Moderate) 25 (Moderate)

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5065

积分

强台风

Super Typhoon

积分
5065
发表于 2025-1-5 08:00 | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 pocketbox 于 2025-1-5 04:55 编辑

Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Jan 042341 UTC.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 03F CENTRE [1008 HPA] WAS ANALYSED NEAR 13.0S
172.0W [NEAR SAMOA] AT 042100UTC AND REMAIN SLOW MOVING.

CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT OVER SUPPOSED LLCC IN THE LAST 12
HOURS, WHILE ORGANISATION REMAIN POOR.
TD03F CURRENTLY LIES IN A LOW SHEARED ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD UPPER
DIVERGENCE AND GOOD POLEWARD OUT FLOW. SST IS AROUND 30 DEGREES
CELSIUS.
TD03F LIES ON THE PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE [WITH ANTICYCLONIC
CENTRE LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM]. THUS, TD03F IS
EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DRIFT TOWARDS THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST BEFORE MAKING
A SOUTHEAST TURN TOWARDS TONGA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICK UP THE SYSTEM AND MOVE IT TOWARDS THE
SOUTHEAST WITH SOME INTENSIFICATION.

POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE
NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS LOW TO MODERATE.

*********************************************************************
**************

NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE
AREA.

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5065

积分

强台风

Super Typhoon

积分
5065
发表于 2025-1-5 20:55 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Jan 050810 UTC.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 03F CENTRE [1006 HPA] WAS ANALYSED NEAR 12.8S
175.0W AT 050600UTC AND REMAIN SLOW MOVING.

CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT OVER SUPPOSED LLCC IN THE LAST 12
HOURS, WHILE ORGANISATION REMAIN POOR.
TD03F CURRENTLY LIES IN A LOW SHEARED ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD UPPER
DIVERGENCE AND GOOD POLEWARD OUT FLOW. SST IS AROUND 30 DEGREES
CELSIUS.
TD03F LIES ON THE PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE [WITH ANTICYCLONIC
CENTRE LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM]. THUS, TD03F IS
EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DRIFT TOWARDS THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST BEFORE MAKING
A SOUTHEAST TURN TOWARDS TONGA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICK UP THE SYSTEM AND MOVE IT TOWARDS THE
SOUTHEAST WITH SOME INTENSIFICATION.

POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE
NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS LOW TO MODERATE.

*********************************************************************
**************

NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE
AREA.

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