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南半球各类图像自动更新暨非扰动云团专帖(2024年7月-2025年6月)

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发表于 2024-12-19 21:50 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 06U
A tropical low to form near the North Tropical Coast and move eastwards into the Coral Sea during the weekend.
  • A tropical low (06U) may form off the north tropical coast of Queensland early in the weekend and move eastwards, away from the Queensland coast during Sunday and Monday.
  • The chance of 06U intensifying into a tropical cyclone is considered Low (5%) late Friday.
  • Throughout the weekend, the likelihood increases slightly, reaching a Low (15%) chance of the system strengthening to tropical cyclone intensity.
  • By Tuesday, 06U is expected to be in the eastern Coral Sea, where conditions will become less conducive to development, reducing the risk of it being a tropical cyclone to Very Low.
  • Although 06U may not strengthen to tropical cyclone intensity, heavy rainfall and strong, gusty winds are still expected along the northern tropical coast of Queensland into the weekend.

Last updated
5 hours ago, 08:47 am UTC

Tropical lowsTomorrow 12:00 am Tomorrow 12:00 pm Sat 21  Dec 12:00 am Sat 21  Dec 12:00 pm Sun 22  Dec 12:00 am Sun 22  Dec 12:00 pm Mon 23  Dec 12:00 am Mon 23  Dec 12:00 pm Tue 24  Dec 12:00 am Tue 24  Dec 12:00 pm Wed 25  Dec 12:00 am Wed 25  Dec 12:00 pm Thu 26  Dec 12:00 am Thu 26  Dec 12:00 pm
Tropical Low 06U 1 (Very Low) 5 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 10 (Low) 5 (Low) 1 (Very Low) null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None)

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19

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Super Typhoon

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发表于 2024-12-20 15:35 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 07U
Tropical low expected to form in the Indian Ocean next week.
  • A tropical low, 07U, is expected to form over open waters between Christmas Island and the Cocos (Keeling) Islands early next week.
  • Once it forms, it is expected to move steadily west and could pass close to the Cocos (Keeling) Islands.
  • Later next week there is a Moderate likelihood of it developing into a tropical cyclone, though it is likely to be further west than the Cocos (Keeling) Islands by then.


Last updated
7 hours ago, 12:49 am UTC

Tropical lowsToday 12:00 pm Tomorrow 12:00 am Tomorrow 12:00 pm Sun 22  Dec 12:00 am Sun 22  Dec 12:00 pm Mon 23  Dec 12:00 am Mon 23  Dec 12:00 pm Tue 24  Dec 12:00 am Tue 24  Dec 12:00 pm Wed 25  Dec 12:00 am Wed 25  Dec 12:00 pm Thu 26  Dec 12:00 am Thu 26  Dec 12:00 pm Fri 27  Dec 12:00 am
Tropical Low 07U null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 5 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 25 (Moderate) 25 (Moderate) 30 (Moderate)

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19

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4807

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Super Typhoon

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发表于 2024-12-20 23:50 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 07U
Tropical low expected to form in the Indian Ocean next week.
  • A tropical low is expected to form over open waters between Christmas Island and the Cocos (Keeling) Islands early next week.
  • Once it forms, it is expected to move steadily west and could pass close to the Cocos (Keeling) Islands mid next week.
  • Later next week there is a Moderate likelihood of it developing into a tropical cyclone, though it is likely to be further west than the Cocos (Keeling) Islands by then.


Last updated
7 hours ago, 08:32 am UTC

Tropical lowsTomorrow 11:00 am Tomorrow 11:00 pm Sun 22  Dec 11:00 am Sun 22  Dec 11:00 pm Mon 23  Dec 11:00 am Mon 23  Dec 11:00 pm Tue 24  Dec 11:00 am Tue 24  Dec 11:00 pm Wed 25  Dec 11:00 am Wed 25  Dec 11:00 pm Thu 26  Dec 11:00 am Thu 26  Dec 11:00 pm Fri 27  Dec 11:00 am Fri 27  Dec 11:00 pm
Tropical Low 07U null (None) null (None) null (None) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 5 (Low) 5 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 25 (Moderate) 25 (Moderate) 30 (Moderate) 30 (Moderate)

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19

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4807

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台风

Super Typhoon

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发表于 2024-12-21 22:00 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 07U
Indian Ocean Tropical low expected to form and pass close to Cocos Islands next week.
  • A tropical low is forecast to form over open waters between Christmas Island and the Cocos (Keeling) Islands in coming days.
  • The low is expected to move steadily west and likely pass close to the Cocos (Keeling) Islands mid next week.
  • By Thursday there is a Moderate likelihood of it developing into a tropical cyclone, though it is likely to be further west than the Cocos (Keeling) Islands by then.


Last updated
5 hours ago, 08:55 am UTC

Tropical lowsTomorrow 12:00 am Tomorrow 12:00 pm Mon 23  Dec 12:00 am Mon 23  Dec 12:00 pm Tue 24  Dec 12:00 am Tue 24  Dec 12:00 pm Wed 25  Dec 12:00 am Wed 25  Dec 12:00 pm Thu 26  Dec 12:00 am Thu 26  Dec 12:00 pm Fri 27  Dec 12:00 am Fri 27  Dec 12:00 pm Sat 28  Dec 12:00 am Sat 28  Dec 12:00 pm
Tropical Low 07U null (None) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 5 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 25 (Moderate) 25 (Moderate) 30 (Moderate) 30 (Moderate) 30 (Moderate) 30 (Moderate)

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Super Typhoon

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发表于 2024-12-22 12:20 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 07U
Tropical Low 07U expected to move close to Cocos Islands Tuesday or Wednesday. Low risk of developing into a Tropical Cyclone while near Cocos Islands.
  • A weak tropical low (07U) has formed over open waters in the Indian Ocean, between Christmas Island and the Cocos (Keeling) Islands.
  • The low is expected to move steadily west and likely pass close to the Cocos (Keeling) Islands most likely on Tuesday or early Wednesday.
  • By later Wednesday it may start to strengthen and there is a Moderate likelihood of it developing into a tropical cyclone, though it is likely to be further west than the Cocos (Keeling) Islands by then.
  • Shower and thunderstorm activity is expected to increase from later Monday over the Cocos (Keeling) Islands, as the system moves nearby, easing from Thursday as the tropical low moves away to the west.
Last updated
4 hours ago, 12:35 am UTC

Tropical lowsToday 12:00 pm Tomorrow 12:00 am Tomorrow 12:00 pm Tue 24  Dec 12:00 am Tue 24  Dec 12:00 pm Wed 25  Dec 12:00 am Wed 25  Dec 12:00 pm Thu 26  Dec 12:00 am Thu 26  Dec 12:00 pm Fri 27  Dec 12:00 am Fri 27  Dec 12:00 pm Sat 28  Dec 12:00 am Sat 28  Dec 12:00 pm Sun 29  Dec 12:00 am
Tropical Low 07U 1 (Very Low) 5 (Low) 5 (Low) 5 (Low) 10 (Low) 15 (Low) 25 (Moderate) 25 (Moderate) 30 (Moderate) 35 (Moderate) 35 (Moderate) 35 (Moderate) 40 (Moderate) 40 (Moderate)

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Super Typhoon

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发表于 2024-12-23 21:15 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 07U
Tropical Low 07U expected to move close to Cocos Islands Tuesday.
  • A weak tropical low (07U) is located over open waters in the Indian Ocean, about 180km to the southeast of the Cocos (Keeling) Islands at 2:30pm CCT (4:00pm WST) Monday.
  • The low will continue to move swiftly westwards, passing close to the Cocos (Keeling) Islands on Tuesday.
  • By later Wednesday there is a Moderate likelihood of it developing into a tropical cyclone, though it is likely to be further west than the Cocos (Keeling) Islands by then.
  • Showers and thunderstorm activity is expected to increase from later Monday or early Tuesday as the system moves near the Cocos (Keeling) Islands, easing from Thursday as the system moves away to the west.
Last updated
4 hours ago, 09:03 am UTC

Tropical lowsTomorrow 11:00 am Tomorrow 11:00 pm Wed 25  Dec 11:00 am Wed 25  Dec 11:00 pm Thu 26  Dec 11:00 am Thu 26  Dec 11:00 pm Fri 27  Dec 11:00 am Fri 27  Dec 11:00 pm Sat 28  Dec 11:00 am Sat 28  Dec 11:00 pm Sun 29  Dec 11:00 am Sun 29  Dec 11:00 pm Mon 30  Dec 11:00 am Mon 30  Dec 11:00 pm
Tropical Low 07U 5 (Low) 5 (Low) 15 (Low) 25 (Moderate) 25 (Moderate) 30 (Moderate) 30 (Moderate) 35 (Moderate) 35 (Moderate) 40 (Moderate) 40 (Moderate) 40 (Moderate) 35 (Moderate) 35 (Moderate)

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19

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4807

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Super Typhoon

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发表于 2024-12-27 21:00 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 08U
Tropical low may form offshore to the north of WA
  • A tropical low may form early next week between Indonesia and northwest Western Australia.
  • The low is expected to move westwards, moving through the Indian Ocean.
  • The low will remain well away from the Australian mainland.
Last updated
5 hours ago, 08:18 am UTC

Tropical lowsTomorrow 12:00 am Tomorrow 12:00 pm Sun 29  Dec 12:00 am Sun 29  Dec 12:00 pm Mon 30  Dec 12:00 am Mon 30  Dec 12:00 pm Tue 31  Dec 12:00 am Tue 31  Dec 12:00 pm Wed 1  Jan 12:00 am Wed 1  Jan 12:00 pm Thu 2  Jan 12:00 am Thu 2  Jan 12:00 pm Fri 3  Jan 12:00 am Fri 3  Jan 12:00 pm
Tropical Low 08U null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) 5 (Low) 5 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low)

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Super Typhoon

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发表于 2024-12-29 10:05 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 08U
Tropical low likely form well offshore to the northwest of WA
  • A tropical low, 08U, is likely to form during Monday or Tuesday over open waters well offshore to the northwest Western Australia.
  • There is a Low likelihood of the system reaching tropical cyclone intensity from Tuesday onwards.
  • The low is expected to move westwards, moving through the open waters of the Indian Ocean.
  • The low will remain well away from the Australian mainland.
Last updated
3 hours ago, 11:22 pm UTC

Tropical lowsToday 12:00 pm Tomorrow 12:00 am Tomorrow 12:00 pm Tue 31  Dec 12:00 am Tue 31  Dec 12:00 pm Wed 1  Jan 12:00 am Wed 1  Jan 12:00 pm Thu 2  Jan 12:00 am Thu 2  Jan 12:00 pm Fri 3  Jan 12:00 am Fri 3  Jan 12:00 pm Sat 4  Jan 12:00 am Sat 4  Jan 12:00 pm Sun 5  Jan 12:00 am
Tropical Low 08U null (None) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 5 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low)

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Super Typhoon

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4807
发表于 2024-12-29 23:20 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 08U
Tropical low likely form well offshore to the northwest of WA
  • A tropical low, 08U, is likely to form during Monday or Tuesday over open waters well offshore to the northwest Western Australia.
  • There is a Low likelihood of the system reaching tropical cyclone intensity from Tuesday onwards.
  • The low is expected to move westwards, moving through the open waters of the Indian Ocean.
  • The low will remain well away from the Australian mainland.
Last updated
7 hours ago, 08:10 am UTC

Tropical lowsTomorrow 11:00 am Tomorrow 11:00 pm Tue 31  Dec 11:00 am Tue 31  Dec 11:00 pm Wed 1  Jan 11:00 am Wed 1  Jan 11:00 pm Thu 2  Jan 11:00 am Thu 2  Jan 11:00 pm Fri 3  Jan 11:00 am Fri 3  Jan 11:00 pm Sat 4  Jan 11:00 am Sat 4  Jan 11:00 pm Sun 5  Jan 11:00 am Sun 5  Jan 11:00 pm
Tropical Low 08U 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 5 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 10 (Low)

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Super Typhoon

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发表于 2024-12-30 17:20 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Dec 300850 UTC.

ANOTHER BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0S 167.0E [NEAR
VANUATU]. POSITION POOR BASED HIMAWARI-8 EIR IMAGERY WITH ANIMATION.
THE LOW IS SLOW MOVING.

THE LOW IS CURRENTLY ELONGATED, UNDER LOW SHEAR WITH LOW TO MODERATE
UPPER DIVERGENCE. THE LOW HAS SOME POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN
THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS IS LOW.

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