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南半球各类图像自动更新暨非扰动云团专帖(2024年7月-2025年6月)

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Super Typhoon

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发表于 2024-12-6 09:05 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 02U
Tropical Low 02U to form off northern WA, with a Moderate risk of becoming a tropical cyclone early next week.
  • A tropical low (02U) may form over waters northwest of the Kimberley coast or further to the west, either late this weekend or early next week.
  • The most likely track is towards the west southwest, remaining well offshore of the Pilbara coast. There is a small chance it may move closer to the west Pilbara coast next Thursday or Friday.
  • 02U has a Low risk of becoming a tropical cyclone from Sunday increasing to Moderate from Monday, with a gradual increase in risk over following days.
  • The risk of impacts to coastal communities of the Pilbara and Kimberley will be monitored in coming days.

Last updated
an hour ago, 11:43 pm UTC

Tropical lowsToday 12:00 pm Tomorrow 12:00 am Tomorrow 12:00 pm Sun 8  Dec 12:00 am Sun 8  Dec 12:00 pm Mon 9  Dec 12:00 am Mon 9  Dec 12:00 pm Tue 10  Dec 12:00 am Tue 10  Dec 12:00 pm Wed 11  Dec 12:00 am Wed 11  Dec 12:00 pm Thu 12  Dec 12:00 am Thu 12  Dec 12:00 pm Fri 13  Dec 12:00 am
Tropical Low 02U null (None) null (None) null (None) 1 (Very Low) 5 (Low) 15 (Low) 25 (Moderate) 25 (Moderate) 30 (Moderate) 35 (Moderate) 35 (Moderate) 40 (Moderate) 35 (Moderate) 30 (Moderate)

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热带风暴

新人气象爱好者

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QQ
发表于 2024-12-6 22:27 | 显示全部楼层
ECMWF 06Z系集,持续调强

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Every cloud has a silver lining.

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4807

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台风

Super Typhoon

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4807
发表于 2024-12-7 10:10 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 05U
A tropical low (05U) may form north of the Kimberley or the Top End during next week. Low risk of becoming a tropical cyclone from Tuesday.
  • A tropical low (05U) may form in the Timor Sea or Arafura Sea next week.
  • If 05U forms, it will most likely track in a southwesterly direction. It should gradually develop if it remains over water.
  • It may track close to the Kimberley and Pilbara coasts during next week, and people in those areas should stay up-to-date with the latest forecasts.

Last updated
3 hours ago, 11:21 pm UTC

Tropical lowsToday 12:00 pm Tomorrow 12:00 am Tomorrow 12:00 pm Mon 9  Dec 12:00 am Mon 9  Dec 12:00 pm Tue 10  Dec 12:00 am Tue 10  Dec 12:00 pm Wed 11  Dec 12:00 am Wed 11  Dec 12:00 pm Thu 12  Dec 12:00 am Thu 12  Dec 12:00 pm Fri 13  Dec 12:00 am Fri 13  Dec 12:00 pm Sat 14  Dec 12:00 am
Tropical Low 05U null (None) null (None) null (None) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 5 (Low) 5 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low)

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19

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4807

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台风

Super Typhoon

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发表于 2024-12-9 17:30 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 05U
A tropical low (05U) may form north of the Kimberley/NT and move southwest near WA coast later this week. TC risk increases to Moderate from Friday night.
  • A tropical low (05U) may form in the Timor Sea or Arafura Sea in coming days.
  • If 05U forms, it will likely track to the southwest near the coast and would develop if it remained over water, potentially into a small but significant system.
  • At this stage there is considerable variation in possible outcomes. The risk of a tropical cyclone forming is rated as low from Tuesday to Thursday increasing to Moderate from late Friday and over the weekend..
  • People in Kimberley and Pilbara coastal communities should stay up-to-date with the latest forecasts in case the threat increases.

Last updated
32 minutes ago, 08:53 am UTC

Tropical lowsToday 12:00 pm Tomorrow 12:00 am Tomorrow 12:00 pm Wed 11  Dec 12:00 am Wed 11  Dec 12:00 pm Thu 12  Dec 12:00 am Thu 12  Dec 12:00 pm Fri 13  Dec 12:00 am Fri 13  Dec 12:00 pm Sat 14  Dec 12:00 am Sat 14  Dec 12:00 pm Sun 15  Dec 12:00 am Sun 15  Dec 12:00 pm Mon 16  Dec 12:00 am Mon 16  Dec 12:00 pm
Tropical Low 05U 1 (Very Low) 5 (Low) 10 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 25 (Moderate) 25 (Moderate) 25 (Moderate) 25 (Moderate) 25 (Moderate) 25 (Moderate) 15 (Low)

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19

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台风

Super Typhoon

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发表于 2024-12-10 17:40 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 06U
Potential tropical low in the eastern Arafura Sea next week.
  • A trough in the Timor Sea is expected to extend east across the Arafura Sea later in the week.
  • Early next week a tropical low may form in the trough over the eastern Arafura Sea.
  • From next Tuesday, there is a Low likelihood that any tropical low which does form will develop into a tropical cyclone.


Last updated
an hour ago, 08:40 am UTC

Tropical lowsToday 12:00 pm Tomorrow 12:00 am Tomorrow 12:00 pm Thu 12  Dec 12:00 am Thu 12  Dec 12:00 pm Fri 13  Dec 12:00 am Fri 13  Dec 12:00 pm Sat 14  Dec 12:00 am Sat 14  Dec 12:00 pm Sun 15  Dec 12:00 am Sun 15  Dec 12:00 pm Mon 16  Dec 12:00 am Mon 16  Dec 12:00 pm Tue 17  Dec 12:00 am Tue 17  Dec 12:00 pm
Tropical Low 06U null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 5 (Low) 5 (Low)

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台风

Super Typhoon

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发表于 2024-12-11 17:50 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 06U
Potential tropical low in the eastern Arafura Sea next week.
  • A trough in the Timor Sea is expected to extend east across the Arafura Sea.
  • Early next week a tropical low (06U) may form in the trough over the eastern Arafura Sea or the adjacent Gulf of Carpentaria.
  • From next Wednesday, there is a Low likelihood that tropical low, 06U, will form and develop into a tropical cyclone.


Last updated
an hour ago, 08:55 am UTC

Tropical lowsToday 12:00 pm Tomorrow 12:00 am Tomorrow 12:00 pm Fri 13  Dec 12:00 am Fri 13  Dec 12:00 pm Sat 14  Dec 12:00 am Sat 14  Dec 12:00 pm Sun 15  Dec 12:00 am Sun 15  Dec 12:00 pm Mon 16  Dec 12:00 am Mon 16  Dec 12:00 pm Tue 17  Dec 12:00 am Tue 17  Dec 12:00 pm Wed 18  Dec 12:00 am Wed 18  Dec 12:00 pm
Tropical Low 06U null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low)

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Super Typhoon

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发表于 2024-12-15 11:40 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 06U
Potential tropical low in the northern Gulf of Carpentaria and around Cape York Peninsula early in the week.
  • A tropical low (06U) may form along the trough over the eastern Arafura Sea or northern Gulf of Carpentaria early in the week.
  • The low may remain in the northern Gulf of Carpentaria initially and then move southeast across the Cape York Peninsula into the Coral Sea during later part of the week.
  • The likelihood of tropical low (06U) to develop into a tropical cyclone is assessed as Low from late Tuesday.
  • Communities across Queensland's Cape York Peninsula and Gulf of Carpentaria should monitor forecasts for updated information on the formation of the tropical low.


Last updated
4 hours ago, 11:34 pm UTC

Tropical lowsToday 12:00 pm Tomorrow 12:00 am Tomorrow 12:00 pm Tue 17  Dec 12:00 am Tue 17  Dec 12:00 pm Wed 18  Dec 12:00 am Wed 18  Dec 12:00 pm Thu 19  Dec 12:00 am Thu 19  Dec 12:00 pm Fri 20  Dec 12:00 am Fri 20  Dec 12:00 pm Sat 21  Dec 12:00 am Sat 21  Dec 12:00 pm Sun 22  Dec 12:00 am
Tropical Low 06U null (None) null (None) null (None) 1 (Very Low) 5 (Low) 10 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 5 (Low) 5 (Low)

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Super Typhoon

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发表于 2024-12-16 21:30 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 06U
Tropical low may form around Cape York Peninsula and move into the Coral Sea during the week.
  • A tropical low (06U) may form along the trough over the eastern Arafura Sea or northern Gulf of Carpentaria in the middle of the week.
  • The formation of the low remains highly uncertain; however, should it develop, it is expected to track across Cape York Peninsula and move into the Coral Sea during the latter part of the week.
  • The likelihood of tropical low (06U) to develop into a tropical cyclone is assessed as Low from Wednesday with slight increase in probabilities from Friday onwards.
  • Communities across tropical north Queensland should monitor forecasts for updated information on the formation and movement of the tropical low.


Last updated
5 hours ago, 08:45 am UTC

Tropical lowsTomorrow 12:00 am Tomorrow 12:00 pm Wed 18  Dec 12:00 am Wed 18  Dec 12:00 pm Thu 19  Dec 12:00 am Thu 19  Dec 12:00 pm Fri 20  Dec 12:00 am Fri 20  Dec 12:00 pm Sat 21  Dec 12:00 am Sat 21  Dec 12:00 pm Sun 22  Dec 12:00 am Sun 22  Dec 12:00 pm Mon 23  Dec 12:00 am Mon 23  Dec 12:00 pm
Tropical Low 06U 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 5 (Low) 5 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low)

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Super Typhoon

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发表于 2024-12-17 21:40 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 06U
Tropical low may form around Cape York Peninsula and move into the Coral Sea late in the week but a low chance to become a tropical cyclone.
  • A tropical low (06U) may form along the trough over the eastern Arafura Sea or northern Gulf of Carpentaria in coming days and track southeast across Cape York Peninsula into the Coral Sea by the weekend.
  • The likelihood of tropical low (06U) to develop into a tropical cyclone is assessed as Low from late Thursday to Monday with a slight increase in probabilities from late Friday to Sunday.
  • Communities across tropical north Queensland should monitor forecasts for updated information on the formation and movement of the tropical low.

Last updated
5 hours ago, 08:37 am UTC

Tropical lowsTomorrow 12:00 am Tomorrow 12:00 pm Thu 19  Dec 12:00 am Thu 19  Dec 12:00 pm Fri 20  Dec 12:00 am Fri 20  Dec 12:00 pm Sat 21  Dec 12:00 am Sat 21  Dec 12:00 pm Sun 22  Dec 12:00 am Sun 22  Dec 12:00 pm Mon 23  Dec 12:00 am Mon 23  Dec 12:00 pm Tue 24  Dec 12:00 am Tue 24  Dec 12:00 pm
Tropical Low 06U null (None) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 5 (Low) 10 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 10 (Low) 5 (Low) 5 (Low) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low)

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19

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4807

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台风

Super Typhoon

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发表于 2024-12-18 21:10 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 06U
A tropical low to form in the Coral Sea late in the week has a Low chance of becoming a tropical cyclone.
  • A tropical low (06U) may form off the north tropical coast of Queensland on Friday or early weekend.
  • The low is expected to move eastwards, away from the Queensland coast during the weekend and early part of next week.
  • The likelihood of tropical low (06U) to develop into a tropical cyclone in the central Coral Sea is assessed as Low.
  • Communities across tropical north Queensland should monitor forecasts for updated information on the movement of the tropical low.


Last updated
5 hours ago, 08:38 am UTC

Tropical lowsToday 12:00 pm Tomorrow 12:00 am Tomorrow 12:00 pm Fri 20  Dec 12:00 am Fri 20  Dec 12:00 pm Sat 21  Dec 12:00 am Sat 21  Dec 12:00 pm Sun 22  Dec 12:00 am Sun 22  Dec 12:00 pm Mon 23  Dec 12:00 am Mon 23  Dec 12:00 pm Tue 24  Dec 12:00 am Tue 24  Dec 12:00 pm Wed 25  Dec 12:00 am Wed 25  Dec 12:00 pm
Tropical Low 06U null (None) 1 (Very Low) 5 (Low) 10 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 10 (Low) 5 (Low) 5 (Low) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) null (None) null (None)

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