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黑德兰港以北热带低压10U&11U(10S) - 两个低压互旋融合，将沿西澳海岸西南行发展

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1007圆规

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喵喵喵

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发表于 2025-1-12 15:23 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
本帖最后由 1007圆规 于 2025-1-18 16:30 编辑

99S INVEST 250112 0600 14.5S 115.0E SHEM 15 0

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参与人数 1金钱 +3 威望 +3 收起 理由
2018_26W + 3 + 3

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绫罗飘起遮住日落西，奏一回断肠的古曲
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Meow

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发表于 2025-1-12 15:53 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 10U

Tropical low (10U) may form to the north of WA early in the week.

  • 10U is likely to remain slow moving over waters to the north of WA during the week with the potential to become a cyclone rated at Low (10%) from Thursday onwards.
  • Conditions are marginally favourable for development during week, however if it remains over water then its chances of developing improves on the weekend.
  • WA communities are advised to stay up to date with latest forecasts on the development and movement of 10U during the week.


Last updated
7 hours ago, 11:23 am AEDT
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pocketbox

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发表于 2025-1-12 20:55 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 10U
Tropical low (10U) may form to the north of WA early in the week.
  • 10U is likely to remain slow moving over waters to the north of WA during the week.
  • The potential for 10U to become a cyclone is rated Low from Thursday onwards.
  • Conditions are only marginally favourable for development during week, however if it remains over water then the chances of 10U developing improves slightly on the weekend.
  • WA communities are advised to stay up to date with latest forecasts on the development and movement of 10U during the week.
Last updated
5 hours ago, 08:17 am UTC

Tropical lowsTomorrow 12:00 am Tomorrow 12:00 pm Tue 14  Jan 12:00 am Tue 14  Jan 12:00 pm Wed 15  Jan 12:00 am Wed 15  Jan 12:00 pm Thu 16  Jan 12:00 am Thu 16  Jan 12:00 pm Fri 17  Jan 12:00 am Fri 17  Jan 12:00 pm Sat 18  Jan 12:00 am Sat 18  Jan 12:00 pm Sun 19  Jan 12:00 am Sun 19  Jan 12:00 pm
Tropical Low 10U 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 5 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low)

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pocketbox

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发表于 2025-1-13 11:10 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 10U
Tropical low to the north of WA.
  • 10U is likely to remain slow moving over waters to the north of WA during the week.
  • The potential for 10U to become a cyclone is rated Low from Thursday onwards.
  • Another tropical low (11U) may form near the Kimberley from late Thursday. If that low were to develop and strengthen, the chances of 10U developing will decrease.
Last updated
3 hours ago, 12:15 am UTC

Tropical lowsToday 12:00 pm Tomorrow 12:00 am Tomorrow 12:00 pm Wed 15  Jan 12:00 am Wed 15  Jan 12:00 pm Thu 16  Jan 12:00 am Thu 16  Jan 12:00 pm Fri 17  Jan 12:00 am Fri 17  Jan 12:00 pm Sat 18  Jan 12:00 am Sat 18  Jan 12:00 pm Sun 19  Jan 12:00 am Sun 19  Jan 12:00 pm Mon 20  Jan 12:00 am
Tropical Low 10U 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low)

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QQ
发表于 2025-1-13 16:42 | 显示全部楼层
ECMWF 2025/1/13 00Z系集，可能有发展机会

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一只布拉万
太好了！！！  发表于 2025-1-13 17:37
Every cloud has a silver lining.
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发表于 2025-1-13 19:40 | 显示全部楼层
2025 - 032 - SHC9
持续时长：30 小时
最大风速：15 节
最低气压：1009 百帕
ACE = 0

时刻（UTC）所在纬度所在经度风速（节）气压（百帕）强度等级
2025/01/11 18:0013.9S115.9E151009DB
2025/01/12 00:0014.1S115.4E151009DB
2025/01/12 06:0014.5S115.0E151009DB
2025/01/12 12:0014.8S114.7E151009DB
2025/01/12 18:0015.1S114.5E151009DB
2025/01/13 00:0015.3S114.5E151009DB



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发表于 2025-1-14 09:23 | 显示全部楼层

西澳西北10U(90S) - 17.5S 110.9E

本帖最后由 ygsj24 于 2025-1-14 19:25 编辑

SH, 90, 2025011400,   , BEST,   0, 175S, 1109E,  15,    0, DB,   0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0,    0,    0,   0,   0,   0,   S,   0,    ,   0,   0,     INVEST,  ,

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参与人数 1金钱 +3 威望 +3 收起 理由
理可的呆萌呆毛 + 3 + 3 90S

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发表于 2025-1-14 11:53 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 10U
Tropical low forming to the north of the Pilbara coast.
  • A tropical low (10U) is gradually forming over waters to the north of the Pilbara coast, and is likely to remain slow moving during the week.
  • The potential for 10U to become a tropical cyclone is rated Moderate from Monday onwards.
  • Another tropical low (11U) may form near the Kimberley from late Thursday. If that low were to develop and strengthen, the chances of 10U developing will decrease.
Last updated
3 hours ago, 12:28 am UTC

Tropical lowsToday 12:00 pm Tomorrow 12:00 am Tomorrow 12:00 pm Thu 16  Jan 12:00 am Thu 16  Jan 12:00 pm Fri 17  Jan 12:00 am Fri 17  Jan 12:00 pm Sat 18  Jan 12:00 am Sat 18  Jan 12:00 pm Sun 19  Jan 12:00 am Sun 19  Jan 12:00 pm Mon 20  Jan 12:00 am Mon 20  Jan 12:00 pm Tue 21  Jan 12:00 am
Tropical Low 10U 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 25 (Moderate) 25 (Moderate) 25 (Moderate)

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发表于 2025-1-14 20:58 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 10U
Tropical low forming to the north of the Pilbara coast.
  • A tropical low (10U) is gradually forming over waters to the north of the Pilbara coast, and is likely to remain slow moving during the week.
  • The potential for 10U to become a tropical cyclone is rated Moderate from Monday onwards.
  • Another tropical low (11U) may form near the Kimberley from late Thursday. If that low were to develop and strengthen, the chances of 10U developing will decrease.
Last updated
4 hours ago, 08:53 am UTC

Tropical lowsTomorrow 11:00 am Tomorrow 11:00 pm Thu 16  Jan 11:00 am Thu 16  Jan 11:00 pm Fri 17  Jan 11:00 am Fri 17  Jan 11:00 pm Sat 18  Jan 11:00 am Sat 18  Jan 11:00 pm Sun 19  Jan 11:00 am Sun 19  Jan 11:00 pm Mon 20  Jan 11:00 am Mon 20  Jan 11:00 pm Tue 21  Jan 11:00 am Tue 21  Jan 11:00 pm
Tropical Low 10U 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 25 (Moderate) 25 (Moderate) 25 (Moderate) 30 (Moderate)

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发表于 2025-1-15 22:50 | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 pocketbox 于 2025-1-15 06:51 编辑

Tropical Low 10U
Tropical low forming to the north of the Pilbara coast.
  • A tropical low (10U) is gradually forming over waters to the north of the Pilbara coast. It is likely to remain slow moving before taking a southwest track from later in the weekend.
  • The potential for 10U to become a tropical cyclone is rated Moderate from Sunday onwards.
  • Another tropical low (11U) may form near the Kimberley later this week. If that low were to develop and strengthen, the chances of 10U (this system) developing will decrease.
Last updated
6 hours ago, 08:52 am UTC

Tropical lowsTomorrow 11:00 am Tomorrow 11:00 pm Fri 17  Jan 11:00 am Fri 17  Jan 11:00 pm Sat 18  Jan 11:00 am Sat 18  Jan 11:00 pm Sun 19  Jan 11:00 am Sun 19  Jan 11:00 pm Mon 20  Jan 11:00 am Mon 20  Jan 11:00 pm Tue 21  Jan 11:00 am Tue 21  Jan 11:00 pm Wed 22  Jan 11:00 am Wed 22  Jan 11:00 pm
Tropical Low 10U 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 25 (Moderate) 25 (Moderate) 30 (Moderate) 30 (Moderate) 35 (Moderate) 40 (Moderate) 40 (Moderate) 40 (Moderate)

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